Friday, June 26, 2020

Japan, Taiwan and South Korea - Is reduced testing really the answer?

Many are lauding the success that countries like Japan, Taiwan and South Korea have had in controlling the novel coronavirus.  Policies like contact tracing and widespread use of masks are cited as the reasons why their numbers are so low. 

Japan has identified 18,110 cases and has tallied 968 Covid deaths, that's just 8 deaths per million of population.  Taiwan has a mere 447 confirmed Covid cases and just 7 deaths for less than 1 per million of population.  South Korea has identified 12,602 cases and has 282 deaths which works out to 6 deaths per million of population.

Contrast the numbers with Canada where we've  had over one hundred thousand cases and 8,504 deaths so far, which comes to 225 deaths per million of population. 

So should Canada look to copy the response of these three countries?  If so that would mean drastically reducing the level of testing taking place here.  Canada has conducted over 2.5 million tests so far, for every million Canadians we've tested 67,794 people.  We're significantly behind Donald Trump's United States where they've tested 92,910 per million. 

Japan has only done 3,443 tests per million of population, Taiwan just 3,192 per million and South Korea 24,036, nowhere close to the level we're at in Canada. 

While everyone is touting masks as the answer, citing the success in Japan, Taiwan and South Korea, maybe the real answer is to conduct testing at similar levels.  Maybe this is where Donald Trump got the idea that the best way to manage a situation is to not measure it, it seems to be working in some other countries. 

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