Saturday, June 6, 2020

BLM protests provide another litmus test on the effectiveness of social distancing....

"Because you're out, we're staying in"

That's a sign in some windows, supporting front line health care workers by doing what medical experts have been advocating, social distancing to prevent our health care systems from being overwhelmed with Covid-19 patients.  

But does it work?  

Based on what's been happening in Ontario's hospitals ever since the Victoria Day long weekend it sure doesn't look like it.  After the massive gathering in Toronto's Trinity Bellwood Park, an estimated 10,000 people, mostly younger, not social distancing and not wearing masks, we were told to expect a surge in patients needing treatment for Covid.  

But it didn't happen.  I started tracking Ontario's number of Covid patients put out by the Ontario Hospital Association on the Monday after that long weekened. On Monday May 25th Ontario's roughly 500 hospitals had 878 patients being treated for Covid-19.  Here we are, long past the estimated 5 day period to the onset of first symptoms, and the number has dropped to 749.  

We're being told the same thing again because of all the BLM protests happening across the province and country.  In a CBC article a healthcare worker is quoted as saying:  

Yes, once again the message is that our health care system is at risk of being overwhelmed.  In fairness the quote uses the word "could", so that equally means it "could not".  Basically everyone is guessing, this isn't evidence based science.  We've all seen the pictures, lots of people packed tightly together, many not wearing masks.  
The number of patients being treated for Covid has been going steadily down, here's hoping the science is wrong again and that the BLM protests don't trigger a surge of people needing treatment.  It would also lend further evidence that social distancing isn't the panacea its being presented as and should open the window to more easing of tragic and devastating lockdown measures.  

3 comments:

Gyor said...

I'm left-wing, NDP voter, but left was happy to Bash liberty loving anti qorentine protesters and treat them like fools who were endangering everyone, but then applaude these BLM/Antifa protests which went way further in ignoring social distancing and large gathering protocols among other things, to only cheering from the same people who condemned others for ignoring social distancing.

What is even worse is the Governor who who pushed social distancing hardcore on her state only to be photographed ignoring her own rules during a BLM protest.

It time to lift the lockdown completely. This is why I think Trump is going to win the next American election, the left has been a shit show this year, from picking Biden over Bernie or Tulsi, to pushing so hard for a lockdown that wrecked civil liberties, and then hypocritically applauding rioters destroying affordable housing and small businesses, and finally politicians ignoring their own social distancing rules (which Doug Ford is guilty of too).

November is going to be a total shit show in the US,and you know some of that is going to float north. I think Trump will win because Americans are scared and broke, and rioting will break out again when he does. I'm so depressed about politics. Thank you for being one of the few fellow lefties who rise about the group think.

Gordie Canuk said...

Thanks Gyor, I consider myself to be very much a liberal in the classic sense, and we're a dying bread because of group think.

Gyor said...

Yes, I've notice many different breeds of lefty are either dying breeds or osrachized, or driven to the right by twitter extremists.

It just never occurs to most of them to question the lockdown or ask 8s there an alternative to protect people without underminding civil liberties.

I went by the beach, most of which was "closed", with cars parked along the side of the road, because they can't use the parking lots,but there was no social distancing and only a few were wearing masks. No huge spike.