Colder temperatures have arrived in Ontario and with them a sharp spike in the number of people testing positive as being infected with the novel coronavirus, inluding hundreds every day of people who thought they'd been immunized.
These are frequently described as "breakthrough cases", another term I've heard is "immune escape". Everyone knows that viruses mutate, it's why influenzas are endemic. They never go away. The annual flu shots are said to only provide partial protection to some. It looks like these Covid-19 vaccines are even less effective than the annual flu shot.
In 2018 Statistics Canada says that 8,511 people died from flu, the sixth leading cause of death that year. That was without conducting tens of millions of PCR tests and then including any death "with" influenza as a death "from" influenza. So comparing flu and covid is basically apples to oranges because we never tested for flu the way we have for covid.
On today's date (Saturday Dec 4/2020) Ontario reported a total of 1,053 infections, with 499 of them being fully vaccinated with two or three doses, 25 partially vaccinated with one shot. The remainder are people who are either unvaccinated or who have an unknown vaccination status, 469 and 60 respectively. On Friday the province reported 442 infections among the fully vaccinated and 27 cases of partially vaccinated people. On Thurday it was 429 fully and 23 partially.
That's brings the total of fully vaccinated people infected with the disease they were supposed to have been immunized against to 1,370 cases, and another 108 in people who were said to have partial protection. And that's just the past three days.
And while it is true that most of Ontario's eligible population is said to be fully protected, (over 80% of the eligible population) most of the testing being done is on the unvaccinated. Fully immunized people are not required to submit to regular testing the way the unvaccinated are. The only logical reason for a fully vaccinated person to decide to go and get tested is if they're sick and displaying symptoms.
What sane person would subject themselve's to a nasal colonostopy for a disease they're supposed to be immunized against unless they were ill?
Saturday's reporting said that the results were from over 36K tests that had been completed over the previous 24 hour period. And while the province doesn't give a breakdown of those being tested by vaccination status I think it's reasonable to assume that 90% of them or so are unvaccinated. If that assumption is accurate it would mean about 3.6K vaccinated people being tested and about 32.4K tests being done on the unvaccinated.
That would mean Friday showed a positiivty rate of almost 14% amongst fully vaccinated people and just 1.4% or so of unvaccinated people. Assumptions would not be necessary if the province would simply provide the data. But if my assumptions are correct then publishing data that shows the vaccines aren't working....and that they might in fact be making things worse, well that wouldn't help in reducing vaccine hesitancy. In point of fact it would encourage heistancy and likely make people angry at the authorities who forced them to take the shots.
And the hospitalization picture isn't any better either. Ontario reports having 284 patients in hospital who have tested positive for Covid-19, but only 90 of those 284 are reported to be unvaccinated. That is just 32% of the total, just under one third. The remaining 68% are either fully or partially vaccinated, that or their status is unknown.
That is another curious thing about the reporting. In Ontario you can't sit down in Tim Hortons without showing proof of vaccination. And yet there are a reported 118 people in Ontario with covid for whom we have no vaccination status. It makes me wonder if these people have dogs eating their health cards?
The fact that there are 118 patients with an unknown vaccination status does help to paint a better picture however for suggesting that the vaccines may have some benefit. By showing a pie chart that only includes the patients with a known status it makes it "appear" that most of the people in hospital are unvaccinated.....
You can see the reporting on the Ontario Covid portal page, but note that the numbers are updated each day at 10:30 am, so the numbers will change tomorrow from what I've included here. But I've noted that this large number of patients with health card eating dogs is a constant factor.
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